Prediction Markets on CKB
Trade on the outcomes of real-world events with fully collateralized YES/NO tokens, powered by Nervos CKB.
How it Works
Mint Tokens
Deposit CKB to mint equal amounts of YES and NO tokens. Each pair is backed by 100 CKB collateral.
Trade
Buy tokens you believe in, sell those you don't. Price reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Coming SoonClaim Winnings
After resolution, winning tokens are redeemable for 100 CKB each. Losers expire worthless.
Complete Set Model: Every YES + NO pair is fully backed by 100 CKB locked in the market cell.
Arbitrage & Price Pegging: The mint/burn mechanism ensures YES + NO prices always sum to 100 CKB. If prices diverge, arbitrageurs can mint (when sum < 100) or burn (when sum > 100) for risk-free profit. This keeps markets efficient. In production, liquidity providers and arbitrage bots would maintain this peg.
On-chain validation: CKB type scripts enforce collateralization rules. No trust required.
Stack: Rust smart contracts on CKB + CCC library + JoyID wallet
Markets
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Connect your wallet and click refresh to see available markets.
Roadmap
Phase 1: Core Mechanics
Complete set minting, market resolution, winner claiming. Fully working on testnet.
Phase 2: Trading
AMM or order book for YES/NO token trading. This enables price discovery and speculation.
Phase 3: Oracle Integration
Decentralized resolution via oracle networks. Remove trust from outcome reporting.
Phase 4: RGB++ & BTC Collateral
Leverage RGB++ protocol to enable Bitcoin-backed prediction markets.
Phase 5: Mainnet Launch
Security audits, UI polish, and production deployment on CKB mainnet.